For years the baseball fan has been enamored by the home-run. We love the homer so much that Major League Baseball even has a Home Run Derby to help quench our long ball appetite. Fans typically like to see more offense but the irony of it is that the same players that brought so many thrilling moments are the the ones that have not been able to adapt to the game and as a result has seen baseball score less and less runs. The name of this big change that players are having to deal with: "The Shift."
Adam Dunn |
The reason for the shift seems to be easy. Guys are pulling
the ball a ton. The shift eats a lot of their would be base hits. You would
think professional hitters could hit the ball the opposite way but it is as if
their mind set is so pull conscious in a game that over values the home-run so
much that great hitters are willing to hit 50, 60, 70 points less as long as they still
get their 30 or 35 home-runs and 100 RBI’s. Problem is, there does not appear
to be an abundance of 30 homer guys, let alone 40 or 50 homer power guys that you would say, "Who cares, the shift can't keep it in the park." Yet day after day, hack after hack, guys are still swinging for
the fences.
Mark Teixeira |
In the past, in order
to give hitters more of an edge when pitching was seemingly unhittable, certain
changes happened in the game that are very well documented. The two big things
were the lowering of the pitchers mound and the institution of the DH. The
problem is, what other changes really can be made without really starting to
change the fundamentals of the game that we have grown to know and love for so
many years? When the DH was brought in, that was considered to be a
monstrous change and still many baseball purists despise it. So, I go back to the question... What changes can be done to bring more offense? And what would possibly be approved? Look at what it has taken to get instant replay into the game. Other sports have used for years yet in some fans eyes it takes away from the game because it is taking away from the "human element" of the game. Imagine what chaos it would cause if you wanted a second DH or some sort of special hitter rule.
AT&T Park in San Francisco |
However, let’s be honest, how many teams are in need of new
stadiums and are willing to make these radical changes to their ballparks when everyone still loves the home-run so much? With the way
the game is played now, yeah, sure, you will see your 440 foot blasts but that
solo shot counts just the same as a single with a man in scoring position.
What the shift is actually going to force is that it is
going to force a change that no rule can implement: Better,
all around hitters.
Granted their legacy's are tainted but what made guys like Alex Rodriguez, Barry Bonds and Ryan Braun so special was their ability to go gap to gap, up the middle, pull the ball go
the opposite way and could do it for average and power. It is also what has
made Giancarlo Stanton stand out so much in his early career. I’m not sure you
will see many A-Rod’s or Stanton’s in history
but I think the shift is going to force the game to take a “little league
approach” where you are told to “drive it where it is pitched.”
Alex Rodriguez |
If you ask me, it will mean more guys like Robinson Cano
will be favored… Even a younger Cano before he honed his skills and the strike
zone, because he could always take it to all fields and show some power. Again,
not sure how many Cano’s you will see through history, but it is that type of
hitter that will yield the most value.
Most teams would rather a .330 hitter with 10 homers than a
.230 hitter with 40 homers. Or, if I am wrong, we will continue to see a
downward spiral of runs scored. However, it is a heck of a lot easier to hit
singles and doubles than it is to wait for a big bopper to hit homers to get you through every game, especially
when you face the cream of the crop in the playoffs and aren’t beating up of
number four and five starters.
Nick Markakis |
So,as we go forward in this movement, be on the lookout for more superstars that mimic the style of Howie Kendrick, Nick Markakis ad Robinson Cano type players and less Ryan Howards, David
Ortiz and Adam Dunn type hitters and ironically you will see the pendulum swing once again
to where the offense is dominant.
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